Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.021243 0.027338 0.035715 0.048581 0.068898 0.101912 0.165343
2024-12-15 0.014437 0.020545 0.030352 0.048811 0.087420 0.181141 0.530270
2024-12-22 0.011415 0.017283 0.027700 0.050327 0.109590 0.322366 2.414951
2024-12-29 0.009482 0.014985 0.025478 0.050895 0.131369 0.563180 31.939053
2025-01-05 0.007886 0.012794 0.022580 0.048036 0.140254 0.837573 NaN
2025-01-12 0.006833 0.011348 0.020718 0.046773 0.154728 1.387239 NaN
2025-01-19 0.006317 0.010808 0.020633 0.050530 0.201494 4.085352 NaN
2025-01-26 0.006017 0.010626 0.021301 0.057314 0.291363 40.414211 NaN
2025-02-02 0.005741 0.010433 0.021881 0.064538 0.430365 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 0.005283 0.009750 0.020969 0.065227 0.518842 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 0.004900 0.009172 0.020193 0.066104 0.632887 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 0.004550 0.008616 0.019343 0.066149 0.752963 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 0.004106 0.007841 0.017849 0.063017 0.821760 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 0.003777 0.007299 0.016958 0.062803 1.022744 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 0.003536 0.006933 0.016513 0.064926 1.448369 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 0.003305 0.006553 0.015918 0.065733 1.972871 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 0.003030 0.006027 0.014724 0.061673 2.033408 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 0.002821 0.005644 0.013929 0.059890 2.373334 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 0.002727 0.005544 0.014077 0.065212 4.821521 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 0.002681 0.005559 0.014639 0.074970 19.041084 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.002629 0.005552 0.015131 0.085553 281.363364 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.002502 0.005322 0.014702 0.086573 7318.565497 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.002389 0.005116 0.014324 0.087874 NaN NaN NaN